January 11, 2010
Posted by Richard Cochrane on 11th January 2010
· Obama Plays Truman With Buck Stops “Joke”
· Russia Arms Vietnam Against China
· Military Aid To Yemen To Double After Botched Christmas Attack.
· China To Be More Aggressive
Sen. Harry Reid’s (D) Nevada racists comments has him on a hotspot and backing and filling. Of course Obama was immediately forgiving. It was Reid who hypocritically blasted Sen. Trent Lott (R) Miss for comments supporting Strom Thurmond’s Dixicrats.
Obama has finally brought himself to confess America is at war, and with a wink and nod accepted blame for what he called a systemic failure leading up to the near fatal Christmas airliner bombing attempt.
The word “vigilance” is sometimes mocked as reactionary and jingoistic. But the failures in the war on terrorism – even rebranding in “non-war” terms — during the past few months have been failures of vigilance.
After warnings to American officials from his father, a radicalized Nigerian with ties to Yemen — holding a one-way ticket and no luggage — is allowed on a plane headed to Detroit. A man in Afghan military fatigues — covering a bomb vest — entered a CIA base in Afghanistan for an intelligence debriefing, without being screened – many died. An Army psychologist — with a history of making provocative jihadist arguments and known to classmates as a “ticking time bomb” — is assigned to Afghanistan and reports for processing at Fort Hood – many more died.
After the Christmas attack, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano alarmingly concluded, “One of the things that may come out of this awful day is perhaps a renewed sense of urgency.”
Her statement is a confession that vigilance has faded over time. Some of this is a natural process — a human desire for normalcy, the tendency of civilized people to repress unpleasant realities. Vigilance is like a knife that dulls when it is not used.
Which is precisely why vigilance requires leadership. Urgency is either sharpened by rhetoric and expectation — or it is sharpened by tragedy.
Obama can’t be held responsible for every mistake at every level of government. But every level of government takes its cues from the president and his main advisers. And it is difficult to argue that the Obama administration has even attempted to create an atmosphere of urgency in the war on terror. The listless, coldblooded and clueless response of the Hawaii White House to the Christmas Day attack was only the most recent indication. Over the last year, nearly every rhetorical signal from the administration — from the use of war-on-terror euphemisms such as “overseas contingency operations” and “man-caused disasters” to its preference for immediately categorizing terrorism as the work of an “isolated extremist” — has been designed to convey a return to normalcy, a contrast to the supposed fear-mongering of the past.
Add to this the Holderization of the war on terrorism. Attorney General Eric Holder began his work not with a high-profile assault on al-Qaeda but with a high-profile assault on the CIA — making clear to every ambitious officer that counterintelligence is a dead end of recrimination and legal bills. And now both the mastermind of Sept. 11, 2001, and the underwear bomber are headed toward celebrity trials. According to White House terrorism adviser John Brennan, the decision to prosecute Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab in civilian court was made almost immediately by the Justice Department — though the president now concedes that “al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula trained [Abdulmutallab], equipped him with those explosives and directed him to attack that plane headed for America.”
This civilian prosecution strategy would make sense if the goal is punishment for an attempted mass murderer. But it makes no sense if the goal is vigilance in the war on terrorism — gaining information to prevent future attacks. Abdulmutallab evidently talked a bit with FBI investigators when first captured. But any defense lawyer — and now he has one — will urge him to withhold information for use in bargaining with prosecutors down the road. The reality here is simple and shocking: A terrorist with current knowledge of al-Qaeda operations in Yemen has been told he has the right to remain silent.
As a foreign terrorist, he does not have that right (as even the Obama administration has conceded by its use of military tribunals in other cases). And granting Abdulmutallab that privilege only because he tried to commit murder on American soil is an incentive of disturbing perversity.
The president has occasionally talked of a war on terrorism. But lip service is different from leadership. In the war on terrorism, 2009 was not a year of urgency and vigilance. It was a year of lullabies, hot toddies and Ambien — though it nearly ended with a bang.
The crucial issue now is what will be done from this point forward, and frankly that is seriously in doubt.
Discalced (dis-KALST) adjective: Without shoes. ETYMOLOGY:From Latin dis- (apart, away) + calceare (to fit with shoes), from calceus (shoe), from calx (heel). The word discalced is often used of members of religious orders who go barefoot or wear sandals.
Vietnam is purchasing six submarines from Russia along with other weapons system in what analysts say is a bid to counter China’s growing regional military power.
Hanoi announced a large arms deal for the submarines last week amid concerns that Vietnam is preparing to defend its interests in the resource-rich South China Sea, where Chinese military forces have increased their presence and aggressiveness in the past several years.
“I think their primary rationale is to counteract the military build-up that the Chinese have had in the South China Sea,” said Richard Bitzinger, a regional defense analyst with the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore.
The arms deal was signed Dec. 15 during a visit to Russia by Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung. Ironically Russia is reported to be selling $2.7 billion in arms to China.
Russia’s Interfax news agency reported that Vietnam agreed to buy six Kilo-class diesel-electric submarines in a deal estimated to be worth $2 billion.
Disputes between Vietnam and China have been growing in recent months over disputed waters, including the Paracel Islands where Vietnamese fishermen have been harassed by the Chinese military.
Vietnam Deputy Defense Minister Lt. Gen. Nguyen Chi Vinh called the maritime tensions “a matter of concern” two weeks ago. Analysts called it one of the most outspoken expressions of concern by Hanoi.
Dung confirmed in Moscow that the arms deal included submarines along with aircraft and “military equipment.” Advanced warplanes include 12 Su-30MK2 aircraft, among Russia’s most sophisticated export jets. The Su-30MK2 is comparable to the U. S. F-15 and superior to most other fourth generation fighters. It is inferior to the U. S. made fifth generation F-22 (now cancelled) and F-35 joint strike fighter.
Good news for Gilbert Arenas. He got “Athlete of the Year” from “Guns & Ammo” magazine.—Leno . The momcompoop Arenas has been suspended indefinitely by the NBA for bringing a handgun into the locket room.
US official spokesmen have stepped up their rhetoric against al Qaeda in Yemen but do not have the manpower resources to open another anti-terror warfront in addition to Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq and to a lesser degree Somalia, Washington sources report.
This inadequacy is cloaked by the heated rhetoric, the closure of the US and British embassies in Sanaa for fear of a terrorist attack, the two governments’ declared intention of establishing a police force to fight al Qaeda in Yemen and a further injection of US counter-terror funding to the Sanaa government, although the chances of its survival - or president Ali Abdullah’s loyalty - are fairly low.
Yemeni “commentators” described as “productive” his talks in Sanaa Saturday, Jan. 2 with visiting Gen. David Petraeus, chief of the US Central Command, with regard to action against al Qaeda. But Washington has a problem with the Yemen president: In the ten years since al Qaeda blew up the USS Cole in Aden harbor, Salah has conducted a dual policy, on the one hand, posing as America’s faithful ally in the war on the Islamist extremists, while, on the other, maintaining close back-door ties with al Qaeda in Yemen and giving them his protection.
Yemen’s revolving door for captured terrorists is part of this two-faced presidential strategy and accounts for al Qaeda’s mounting strength in the country. Any effort to contain this strength would be further doomed if the Obama administration were to go through with repatriating to their homeland 100 Yemeni Islamists released from Guantanamo Bay.
The US president’s top counter-terror adviser John Brennan told US television audiences Sunday: “Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula poses a serious threat” which would be exacerbated by its reinforcement.
The day after his talks with Gen. Petraeus, Salah detached troops for the provinces east of the capital to ward off al Qaeda’s increasing presence there, but this was no more than a token gesture. His deals with Washington are unlikely to stand up for more than a few weeks or lead to the culling of al Qaeda strength in the country and, anyway, he has no military strength to spare from his other warfronts.
The Obama administration, facing mounting public criticism of the security lapses which led up to the failed attempt to blow up Northwest Airlines flight 253 on Christmas day, is picking its way through this minefield in response to American fears and demands for a tough hand against the terrorists.
In the last of his three speeches on the subject on Saturday, Jan. 2, President Obama fingered al Qaeda in Yemen as the authors of the attempt after its organization, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula’s claim of responsibility. Now, he must follow through with a form of retaliation, even though by now the Islamist terrorists’ have abandoned their known hideouts and gone to ground among friendly native tribes or Yemen’s lofty mountains in the south.
The threat of an attack on the US embassy in Sanaa is longstanding. Al Qaeda controls parts of four Yemen provinces, Abayan, Baida, Shabwa and Hadramout, covering nearly 200,000 sq. km, almost a third of Yemen’s total area (530,000 sq. km. - slightly smaller than California). No more than a skeleton staff of two or three officers normally mans the US embassy in Sanaa, the ambassador and most of the personnel working out of well-guarded and fortified safe houses. The British embassy diplomatic staff is likewise very small.
Yemen is sunk so deep in three chaotic wars against two insurgencies and al Qaeda that the notion of a police force is risible. So too is for the US to rely on its armed forces to contain al Qaeda.
Military sources report that for months now, Yemeni armed forces have been staggering from one defeat to another against the Houthi rebels in the north, further undermined by the pullout of Saudi troops last week.
An even more menacing insurgency led by the Southern Engine movement is fighting to separate southern Yemen from the North and declare independence from the strategic Red Sea port of Aden.
Yemen claimed to have carried out two air strikes against al Qaeda hideouts in Shabwa on Dec. 17 and Dec. 24. They were in fact the work of US drones.
The latter attack, which killed 36 al Qaeda high-ups, took place the day before the Detroit-bound airliner was threatened by an al Qaeda bomber.
The logical conclusion from this sequence of events is that American military action in Yemen had no effect on the plot to blow up an American airliner.
The most popular boys’ names in 2009 were Ethan, Noah, and Logan. The least popular boy name for 2009: Tiger Madoff Gosselin.- Leno
Sensing weakness and seeing opportunity the Chinese Foreign Ministry has reshuffled its leading diplomats with a view to waging a more aggressive “quasi-superpower diplomacy” in the coming decade. Foremost among the changes is the soon-to-be-announced posting of Vice Foreign Minister He Yafei to Washington.
He, 55, will replace incumbent Ambassador Zhou Wenzhong, who has reached the mandatory retirement age of 65 and is tipped to return home.
Meanwhile, the official Chinese media reported Jan. 4 that three new vice foreign ministers had been appointed. They are former UK Ambassador Fu Ying; former Japan Ambassador Cui Tiankai; and former Assistant Foreign Minister Zhai Jun. The three rising stars are expected to be in charge of European, Asian and African affairs, respectively.
Of the three, the suave and elegant Fu, 57, has attracted the most attention. Of Mongolian descent and daughter of a PLA general, Fu is the second female diplomat since 1949 to have attained the rank of vice minister. (The first was Mao Zedong’s niece, Wang Hairong, who was vice foreign minister during the Cultural Revolution.)
A former ambassador to Australia and the Philippines, Fu has played a pivotal role in raising China’s profile in Europe and in boosting the country’s ties with the EU, its largest trading partner.
Yet it is He’s imminent move to Washington that has become the talk of the cocktail circuit in Beijing. A fluent English speaker who studied international relations in Switzerland for a year, He served in China’s missions in the U.S. and United Nations for many years.
Often spoken of as a future foreign minister, He is considered a hawk who will be pushing hard to establish de facto diplomatic equality between China and the U.S.
Just last month, He made headlines at the Copenhagen climate-change summit when he told a press conference that the U.S. representative, Todd Stern, “either lacks common sense or is extremely irresponsible.”
Many official Chinese analysts see Beijing taking a more aggressive stance toward the U.S. For example, Cui Liru, president of the prestigious China Institute of Contemporary International Research, sees “a new balance of power” between the superpower and the quasi-superpower.
“In the past, the U.S. was proactive and we tended to be reactive. In many areas, the U.S. was on the offensive and we were on the defensive,” Cui commented concerning bilateral ties over the past several decades.
“There will be some changes of posture in the coming 10 years,” the senior government adviser noted.
It is also significant that the generation of “returnees” — Chinese who had studied in the West — has gained dominance over the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi, also a former ambassador to the U.S., studied in Britain, as did Vice Foreign Minister Fu.
Vice Foreign Minister Cui has a master’s degree from Johns Hopkins University.
It is a mistake, however, to think that diplomats who had received formal training in the U.S. and Europe tend to be more conciliatory toward the West. If anything, such officials tend to assume a hardline stance, if only to reassure the big bosses in the Chinese Communist Party that they have not succumbed to the proverbial “sugar-coated bullets of capitalism” during their years abroad.
The NFL Playoffs have begun with generally boring blowout games. Except for the overtime dustup between Green Bay and the Cardinals.
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